Wind Crux LorraineTier 1
at 台中 Regional
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.2% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 58.6% | +6.4 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 8.9% | 8 | 5-3-0 | 62.5% | 58.3% | 49.0% | -0.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.9% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 46.9% | -2.3 |
| Fire Suited | 5.3% | 6 | 4-2-0 | 66.7% | 60.0% | 52.3% | +1.2 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 5.3% | 7 | 2-4-1 | 35.7% | 40.9% | 31.5% | -9.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.7% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.5% | -4.8 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.7% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 40.6% | -7.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.1% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 44.4% | -3.2 |
| Water Genbu | 4.1% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 39.9% | -6.5 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.1% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.6% | 7 | 3-2-2 | 57.1% | 54.5% | 56.2% | +3.1 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.6% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 65.5% | +11.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.5% | -18.3 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.0% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 38.1% | -7.6 |
| Wind Allies | 3.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.7% | +0.6 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 60.3% | +9.9 |
| Water Allies | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.6 |
| Slimes | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.1 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.3% | -13.9 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.5% | +4.1 |
| Fire Genbu | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.4 |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Beast | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.9% | +7.8 |
| Water Neos | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 67.3% | +27.6 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 11 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Regal Inquisition.
No cards correlated with losing.
Show all 44 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 43 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regal Inquisition | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Spirit Ruler | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Incapacitate | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Lorraine, Crux Knight | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Four of Spades | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Zephyr | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Annul Spell | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Zhang Jiao, Way of Peace | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Cry for Help | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Hurricane Sweep | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Favorable Winds | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Spirit Blade: Ascension | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Longtail Grovesward | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Rose, Eternal Paragon | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Dungeon Guide | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Fluffy Shopkeep | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Swift Recruit | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Phalanx Captain | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Dream Fairy | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Academy Guide | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Prismatic Edge | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Cheshire Cat, Impish Grin | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sword of Shadows | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Inert Sword | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| The Looking Glass | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rally the Peasants | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Expeditious Opening | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nefarious Timepiece | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 |